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Jason Lange
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WASHINGTON, Sept 24 (Reuters) – Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 47% to 40% in the race to win the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election as she appears to be undermining Trump's lead on the economy and jobs weakened, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Tuesday.

Based on unrounded numbers, Harris had a lead of six percentage points – showing she was supported by 46.61% of registered voters, while Trump was supported by 40.48%, according to the three-day poll that ended Monday. The Democrat's lead was slightly larger than her five-point lead over Trump in a Sept. 11-12 Reuters/Ipsos poll.

The last survey had a margin of error of about four percentage points.

While national polls, including Reuters/Ipsos polls, provide important clues about voters' views, the Electoral College results for each state will determine the winner, with seven battleground states likely to be decisive.

Polls have shown Harris and Trump running neck-and-neck in these battleground states, with many results falling within the polls' margin of error. A recent New York Times/Siena College poll showed Trump narrowly ahead in three of those states — Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.

When asked which candidate had a better approach to the economy, unemployment and jobs, about 43% of voters in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll chose Trump and 41% chose Harris. Trump's two-point lead on the issue compares with his three-point lead in a Reuters/Ipsos poll in August and an 11-point lead over Harris in late July, shortly after she launched her campaign.

Harris entered the race after President Joe Biden abandoned his re-election bid following a weak debate against Trump in June. Trump was widely seen as the front-runner at the time, in part because of his perceived strength in the economy after several years of high inflation under the Biden administration.

Reuters/Ipsos polls between April and June also showed voters choosing Trump over Biden by five to eight points on the economy, unemployment and jobs.

Trump still has a large lead on some measures of confidence in his economic leadership. In an August Reuters/Ipsos poll, voters were asked which candidate had a better approach to “the U.S. economy” – with no specific reference to jobs or unemployment – and Trump led Harris by 11 points, 45% to 36 %.

Both candidates are focusing their campaign promises on the economy, which was the most important issue for voters, according to the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll. Trump said Tuesday he would create special production zones on federal land. He has also promised to increase tariffs on imported goods.

Harris has promised tax breaks for families with children and higher taxes for businesses. She is expected to unveil new economic proposals this week, although some aides acknowledge time is running out to convince voters with policy proposals.

Polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.com show a tight race nationally, with Harris leading Trump 48.3% to 45.8%.

The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 1,029 U.S. adults nationwide online, including 871 registered voters. Of those, 785 were considered those most likely to vote on Election Day. Among those likely voters, Harris led 50% to 44%, although similar to all registered voters, her lead was just five points when unrounded numbers were used.

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On By John Fenwick

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