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Dan Johnson lays out all the metrics on Cooper's advanced receiving prospects that suggest he's in for a massive positive regression.

We are approaching the time of year when the fantasy asset market is at its peak. I always feel like managers in my leagues get nervous when their teams start 1-2. If they're 0-3, they're in a sellout. Trade offers fill my inbox.

Some of you may play in leagues where teams with a current losing record field Cleveland Browns WR Amari Cooper. After all, he had two absolute bastards in Weeks 1 and 2.

All metrics on Cooper's advanced receiving ability suggest he's in for 20+ FPT weeks in the near future. I have summarized them below in byte format.

analysis

You know how much I love opportunity metrics. If you're targeting Cooper in a trade, it's all about the expectation that your fellow fantasy manager might not be as knowledgeable about old Coop's receiving details as you will be afterward. Keep it secret, keep it safe, etc.

Finding himself in a difficult Browns passing offense, here is Amari Cooper, one of the wideouts in terms of getting opportunities in Week 3:

  • Fourth in air yards (363)
  • First in distance running (124)
  • Third in goals (29)
  • 4th worst among receivers with 10+ targets in Catch Rate Above Expectations (CROE; -15.1% Catch Rate)
  • Worst among receivers with 10+ targets in receiving yards above expectations (RecYOE; -90 receiving yards)

You can see that the list isn't entirely correct, not even in the slightest – right? Amari Cooper exists at two completely diametric statistical poles. You know what that means! Positive regression. Our absolute favorite.

outlook

So, yes – the kind of regression to the mean we're expecting from Cooper could suggest he's in for some absolutely stratospheric weeks. It certainly suggests the Browns placed a value on getting him the ball. He has completed more routes in the last three weeks than any other receiver in the league.

With fantastic performances of 3.6, 4.1, and 27.6 FPTs in PPR leagues, you may still be able to benefit from a buy-low window for Cooper. One could portray last week's performance as an anomaly in an offense by a quarterback who shifts blame as if he was trained to do so in corporate America.

Whatever you do, get a good deal on Cooper this weekend. Things will work out well for you in the coming weeks.


Set yours DraftKings Fantasy football lineups here: NFL $3.25 Million Fantasy Football Millionaire ($1 Million Through April 1st).


All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds are subject to change.


I'm a promoter at DraftKings and also an avid fan and user (my username is thegreatdansby9). Sometimes I play the games I give advice on on my personal account. Although I have expressed my personal opinions on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the opinion(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment when compiling their lineups. I may also use players and strategies other than those recommended above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to non-public information.

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