MNF Week 4 Best Player Props: Seattle's Jaxon Smith-Njigba is on a roll

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In Week 1, they allowed Tank Bigsby to run for 73 yards on 12 carries, and Travis Etienne didn't have as efficient a game, but he had 12 carries for 44 yards and was able to get into the end zone. Then in Week 2, James Cook rushed for 78 yards and two touchdowns on just 11 carries, or 7.1 yards per carry. He could have easily gotten over 100 if the game had been close, but he spent most of the second half on the sidelines.

In Week 3, Seattle's Zach Charbonnet ran for 91 yards on 18 carries (5.1 YPC) and two touchdowns against Miami. Charbonnet was very inefficient at the start of this game but was still able to put in a good performance.

The Titans' rush game wasn't world-beating or anything like that, but they at least let Pollard, who looked good physically, do most of the work. He gets about 65 percent of the Titans' RB snaps and 60 percent of the team's rush attempts, which is the 10th-highest attempt rate in the league.

He also has a 13.8 percent target share, which ranks eighth among RBs, and he has the third-highest target share on the Titans.

Pollard reached that rushing mark in Weeks 1 and 2 while also scoring a TD in Week 1, and he has a great opportunity to do both tonight, but we just need him to get to 50 yards Cash for this prop.

Tony Pollard o49.5 rush. Yards (-120): 1 unit

Jaxon Smith-Njigba o4.5 receptions (-120) Bet365

We expect Smith-Njigba to be overwhelmed with goals in this game.

It's been a strange start to the season for him, as he was basically uninvolved in Week 1 and had two receptions against just two targets. Then in Week 2, he was an absolute blast with 16 targets, catching 12 of them for 117 yards. Then in Week 3, he had another down game with just three balls on three targets.

You shouldn't put too much emphasis on Week 1 because the start of the season is always strange. The best thing to look at is how a player performed in Week 2, and in this case, Seattle immediately made a point of targeting JSN early and often.

Week 3 can also be explained by the fact that the Seahawks didn't actually have to do anything offensively in this game. Their defense only allowed three points, and that was largely a ground game for Seattle.

For the season as a whole, Smith-Njigba still has the second-highest target rate on the Seahawks (20.4 percent), and he has also run the second-most routes on the team.

This is a game that is expected to be similar to Week 2's game as the Lions have an incredibly strong run defense. They have allowed the fourth-fewest rushing yards in the NFL, as well as the fourth-fewest yards per carry.

Still, they have allowed the slot receiver the highest target share in the entire NFL. Granted, a lot of that damage was done in Week 1 when Cooper Kupp was overly targeted, but they still allowed a ton of targets to trap receivers.

That's what makes this such an exciting matchup for JSN, who has run the most routes in the slot of any receiver in the league entering Week 4. Smith-Njigba runs about 85% of his routes from the slot, and that's where the Lions' defense was at its weakest.

Smith-Njigba also has a low aDOT (average depth of target) of 9 yards, meaning he catches a higher percentage of his targets than DK Metcalf (whose aDOT is 12.6 yards). JSN's catch rate is 81 percent, compared to 73.9 percent for MetCalf.

Hopefully Smith-Njigba will have a big game tonight and hopefully get at least five receptions for us.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba o4.5 receptions (-120): 1 unit

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