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Meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center are tracking five systems in the Atlantic Ocean, including a tropical storm and two tropical depressions.

However, the system most likely to affect the United States was in the western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, the NHC said Monday. A “major low pressure area” in the area is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and environmental conditions appear conducive to gradual development.

The NHC said a tropical depression could form around the middle of this week as the system slowly moves west-northwest, with the system expected to move into the Gulf of Mexico in the second half of this week.

“Stakeholders in the northwest Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. Gulf Coast should monitor the progress of this system,” the NHC said in a statement Monday morning. According to the NHC, there is a 40 percent chance of the system forming in the next seven days.

Additionally, the NHC said a tropical wave a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands was producing “limited shower and thunderstorm activity” and could develop into a tropical depression later this week. The hurricane center gave the system an 80 percent chance of forming over the next seven days.

Atlantic Storm Tracker

Tropical Depression Joyce and Tropical Storm Isaac continue to weaken

Tropical depression Joyce is expected to weaken further over the next 48 hours, the NHC said on Monday. It is likely to become a post-tropical remnant low later Monday and dissipate by Wednesday.

Tropical Storm Isaac was located about 515 miles north-northwest of the Azores on Monday morning and is expected to turn northwest at a similar forward speed on Tuesday, the NHC said.

“Slow weakening is expected over the next few days,” the NHC said Monday morning, as Isaac is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone later Monday.

Tropical Depression Twelve is expected to develop into a “large and strong” hurricane later this week

The last storm tracked by the hurricane center, Tropical Depression Twelve, was located about 690 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands.

The NHC said Monday morning that a “general westward to west-northwestward movement” was expected to continue through Tuesday and a gradual turn toward the northwest was forecast through Wednesday.

The system has maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph with higher gusts, and “steady strengthening is forecast,” with the low pressure system likely to become a hurricane by Tuesday evening or Wednesday, according to the NHC.

Current forecast models show the system curving north into the mid-Atlantic, far from the United States

Gabe Hauari is a nationally featured news reporter at USA TODAY. You can follow him on X @GabeHauari or email him at [email protected].

On By John Fenwick

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