Where has the “Ottobrata” gone? The good and the bad of the weather, the unpredictability

Well, we have to put it bluntly: worse than expected.

Autumn seems to want to surprise us at all costs, and after a month of September that is quite consistent with the meteorological and climatic peculiarities of the past, our imagination of October seems to want to come true. Yes, exactly, it seems that October has no intention of following the usual subtropical dictates, but rather wants to follow in the footsteps of its predecessor. For now, we can forget about the scorching heat and turn our attention to next week's arduous worsening weather. Yes, exactly, instead of the heat there will be a deterioration in the meteorological picture And be careful, given the latest model updates, there could be a permanent crisis.

We will have the opportunity to talk about this in detail, but we can assume that the placement of high and low pressure areas – also called baric configuration – will be extremely conducive to the stability of the fall. But now allow us to consider… A consideration that arises from the unpredictability of the weather and that is precisely where the beauty – but also the ugliness – of our topic lies.

It wouldn't have the undeniable charm that many, yes many, recognize.

It's complicated, but at the same time it can teach us respect. Respect for nature, respect for the atmosphere, respect for an extremely dynamic system governed by a multitude of variables and as such capable of destroying even seemingly probable hypotheses. But if you know it closely, it is a topic that can send clear signals. Predictive signals, those signals that we have been mentioning more and more in recent months.

After all, atmospheric analyzes serve precisely this purpose of untangling the tangle.

When we wrote that, in our humble opinion, October would follow in September's footsteps, it was because there were directional signals. When we wrote that, in our humble opinion, October could bring even worse weather and climate conditions than in the past, it was because the atmospheric signals were pointing in that direction. Nevertheless, we will experience a powerful October right from the start, which could immediately leave its mark. Temperatures are falling and will continue to fall over the next week.

Likewise, phenomena of a certain intensity will reemerge that we will certainly have to pay attention to.

But that is another matter and we will have an opportunity to talk about it.

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